Market Update

Crypto One Liners: What’s Driving the Market in a Minute - November 16

Nov 16: Bitcoin and liquidity-sensitive assets are breaking down as long-term holders sell aggressively into one of the weakest market backdrops of the year. Tech equities are losing leadership as AI names stumble and earnings disappoint, driving a rotation toward defensiveness. Gold is holding up better than most assets as safe-haven flows persist despite profit-taking. Treasury yields remain volatile as mixed labor data clashes with hawkish Federal Reserve messaging. Bitcoin-treasury stocks are declining sharply due to leverage, dilution, and collapsing investor confidence. Crypto-equity names are under pressure from regulatory risk, financing challenges, and weakening liquidity.

Market Update

ALERT: Every Profitable Bitcoin Trader Is Now Watching These 6 Charts

Nov 15: But there are several critical charts that every profitable trader must NOW monitor. Missing these signals has already cost many participants substantial losses, and ignoring them now could lead to even deeper drawdowns if positioning isn’t adjusted. At the same time, markets never move in a straight line, and we outline below the key levels where counter-trend rallies are likely to emerge. The real question, however, is what these dynamics imply for the broader trading outlook for Bitcoin. Let us explain.

Market Update

Bitcoin Crashes to $98,000: The Warning Was Clear. When Does It Stop?

Nov 14: Bitcoin’s latest drop has left traders scrambling for explanations, yet the real clues were visible weeks ago. Ethereum’s even steeper decline is revealing something deeper about this market cycle that most participants still don’t see. Under the surface, positioning, flows, and macro signals are shifting in ways that rarely coincide. A handful of indicators, quiet, data-driven, and historically reliable, are now pointing to a particular outcome. The question is whether traders will recognize what these signals imply before the next move occurs.

Market Update

VIDEO: Is Bitcoin in a Bear Market? The Signals You Need to See

Nov 13: Over the past three weeks, particularly in our October 22 report, we’ve repeatedly highlighted the key signals. The October 10 crash, the unusual investor behavior that followed, and Fed Chair Powell’s shift toward a more uncertain December rate-cut outlook are not isolated stories—they’re all part of the same macro puzzle.

Market Update

MicroStrategy Shareholders Lost Everything. Can They Lose Even More?

Nov 13: Some of the largest crypto-linked stocks have erased years of speculative premium in just weeks, precisely as we expected (here, here, here). Even ETF flows, once the industry’s most reliable pillar, have started to fracture in ways that deserve far more attention. Bloomberg recently covered our analysis (here). Traders are still eager to buy the dip, especially when a few conveniently timed bullish headlines hit the tape, but is now really the moment to step in? Let’s take a closer look.

Market Update

No Buyers: Why Bitcoin’s Rally Has Stalled — And When It Will Resume

Nov 12: Without a clear and durable macro catalyst, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are likely to remain range-bound, even as long-term structural tailwinds continue to strengthen. The central question is unchanged: who is the marginal buyer at this stage of the cycle, and what will pull them back in? New BTC address growth remains tepid, underscoring that a shrinking cohort of high-conviction participants is driving price action. While these buyers have meaningful purchasing power, one key event is still holding them on the sidelines, and until that unlocks, momentum will struggle to re-accelerate.

Market Update

Is This the First Chapter of the 2026 DeFi Cycle?

Nov 11: A major shift is unfolding in the crypto world, but not where most investors are looking. Regulatory clarity in the U.S. is quietly emerging at the same time that billions in stablecoins are migrating to Ethereum, yet prices have barely reacted. Capital is building, not trading, and historically, that’s the pre-phase of a real cycle, not a false start. Meanwhile, structural data, such as user-driven transactions and TVL-based valuation models, are sending a clearer signal than price action. The market thinks we’re in limbo; the data suggests we’re in setup mode.

Market Update

Bitcoin: Just a Relief Rally? Or Bull Market Restart?

Nov 10: The market just survived a historic government shutdown, but the relief rally many expected may not be the one that matters. Beneath the headlines, institutional flows are quietly shifting, and one key liquidity signal just moved in a way we haven’t seen since the last major crypto inflection point. Meanwhile, U.S. growth data looks stronger than the labor market implies, raising the stakes for the December Fed meeting far more than consensus appreciates. Bitcoin held its first test of $100,000, but the real battle line sits elsewhere, and few traders are watching it. One specific indicator is already telling us whether ETF sellers are finished… or only just beginning.

Market Update

10x Weekly Crypto Kickoff – Catalysts vs. Capital Outflows

Nov 10: Markets are entering a critical inflection point: macro catalysts are lining up just as crypto positioning unwinds and volatility begins to reprice higher. Bitcoin has slipped into a technically attractive zone, but ETF outflows and stalled stablecoin growth raise questions about whether fresh liquidity will follow. Ethereum, meanwhile, has seen leveraged longs unwind aggressively — yet call buyers are suddenly stepping in with conviction. Option markets are quietly signaling something big, with front-end implied volatility jumping and skew flipping in ways we haven’t seen for months. Sentiment has bounced off “fear” levels — but is this the start of a recovery or just a temporary relief before another leg lower?

Trading Signals

Crypto Trends Chart Book: Understand What is Moving in the Market and Why

Nov 16: On November 4, we reminded subscribers of “the only three rules that matter in altcoin trading,” and since then, altcoin prices have continued to slide. This is not the time to take altcoin risk. Our tactical altcoin indicator has now favored Bitcoin over altcoins for 55 consecutive days, with the vast majority of altcoins trading below their 30-day moving average.

Trading Signals

10x Derivatives Edge: BTC & ETH Volatility/Options Analysis

Nov 14: The volatility setup in BTC and ETH is unusually clean, with 1-month implied volatility sitting almost exactly at realized levels, meaning traders can own gamma with no carry penalty and express high-conviction views through short-dated BTC straddles or modestly OTM strangles around the critical $98k–$100k level.

Trading Strategy

Crypto Stocks: Understand What is Moving in the Market and Why.

Nov 15: Bitcoin has broken to six-month lows as liquidity evaporates and long-term holders unload record volumes, signaling the most fragile market backdrop in months. Across equities, tech leadership is cracking, with AI darlings stumbling and earnings misses triggering abrupt rotations into defensiveness. Gold is emerging as one of the few assets showing resilience, briefly spiking on safe-haven flows before profit-taking set in.

Trading Strategy

Bitcoin Chart Book - Most Important Daily, Weekly, Monthly Charts

Nov 15: Bitcoin’s October breakout has fully unraveled, and a cascade of broken support levels now points to a deeper, more structural correction. Here are the key charts every trader needs to see. After losing multiple critical support zones, Bitcoin has slipped into a full bearish regime across daily, weekly, and even monthly indicators. The charts below explain why the next moves could be far more volatile than traders expect.

Bitcoin set new all-time highs earlier in October, and at the time we noted that the bullish trend could remain intact as long as price held above $117,000—a level that decisively broke during the October 10 crash.

Trading Strategy

A Deep Dive into Bitcoin Bear Market On-Chain and Market Indicators

Nov 12: In our October 22, 2025, Strategy Presentation, we highlighted a set of indicators that have consistently distinguished bull markets from bear phases in Bitcoin. This distinction matters enormously; Bitcoin’s drawdowns during bear periods have been severe, and effective risk management during these phases is what enables investors to buy size at lower levels later.