Market Update

Bitcoin: Smart Money Sold the Top — Did You? What Might Happen Next?

Nov 7: Identifying market lows can sometimes offer those rare, table-pounding moments when conviction is easier to express. Calling tops, however, is far more difficult, they are subtle, crowded with noise, and sentiment is often euphoric rather than fearful. Yet there are clear indicators that help us define those inflection points as well. Over the past weeks, we have published multiple reports detailing these trigger zones and the technical signals that would confirm such a scenario.

Market Update

Update: Bear Market Watch: What Smart Money Is Seeing in Bitcoin’s Data

Nov 5: In the past three Octobers—2022, 2023, and 2024—we correctly called for major year-end rallies, including the now well-known contrarian call in 2022. But this time we highlighted something different: Q4 has historically been Bitcoin’s best season, yet the catalysts that typically fuel the move were notably absent. And by late September, on-chain metrics had already shifted from green to a warning-yellow, just as enthusiasm peaked elsewhere.

Market Update

Bitcoin Hit Our $100,000 Target — Is It Time to Go Long Again?

Nov 5: We remain structurally bullish on Bitcoin and the broader crypto-trading landscape, otherwise we wouldn’t dedicate our time to analyzing opportunities in this market. There will always be new opportunities, but consistent outperformance comes from discipline, following the data, flow dynamics, positioning, and technicals, and combining that with proprietary on-chain analytics. That disciplined process is what makes the difference, time and again. That’s exactly why our Trading Signals Dashboard platform exists, to highlight when trends turn. The model flipped bearish on Bitcoin around $113,000 on October 10.

Market Update

Bitmine’s $1.3 Billion Ethereum Loss — What's the Trade here?

Nov 4: For months, Bitmine drove the narrative and the flow, now it's fully deployed, sitting on over $1.3 billions in unrealized losses with no dry powder left. The question investors aren’t asking yet: if Bitmine can’t buy the dip, who will? Meanwhile, options positioning and on-chain trends suggest the unwind has room to accelerate, not fade. If the next level breaks, the conversation around Ethereum won’t be about dips, it will be about exits. There’s still opportunity here, and the most compelling ways to position around this theme are outlined below.

Market Update

Bitcoin Is Testing Its Final Support – But a Rally Will Come When...

Nov 4: This cycle is rewarding discipline and trend-following over hope and hype. Only data, positioning, and flows matter. It’s not about hypothetical liquidity concepts or chasing the promises that retail investors often cling to; it’s about understanding how monetary policy will evolve. That’s ultimately what drives the institutional investors who now dominate Bitcoin flows, as their decisions are anchored in central bank guidance rather than speculative narratives.

Market Update

The Week That Will Shape Bitcoin’s Path Into Year-End

Nov 3: We have been ahead of the two dominant forces shaping Bitcoin over the past six months: the deflation of Bitcoin treasury-stock plays (here) and the steady selling by legacy mega-whale holders. While many view these developments as healthy maturation, they also mark a meaningful shift in market psychology, from early believers championing Bitcoin as a peer-to-peer monetary system to a new cohort of macro-driven allocators treating it primarily as digital gold. This matters and could be consequential for Bitcoin.

Market Update

10x Weekly Crypto Kickoff – This week may set Bitcoin’s course into year-end.

Nov 3: ETF inflows have stalled, sentiment collapsed, and leverage quietly bled out of the system, yet volatility hasn’t blown out, a rare mix that rarely lasts long. Bitcoin and Ethereum now sit at pivotal levels with positioning thin, liquidity light, and traders hedging aggressively into downside tails. With macro tailwinds for November–December colliding with fading crypto momentum, the next flows will decide whether this becomes a controlled pullback or the spark for a sharp squeeze.

Trading Signals

10x Derivatives Edge: Smart Options Plays

Nov 6: ETH implied volatility has retraced to Monday’s levels after briefly spiking to 100 implied volatility in the front-end earlier this week. One-week realised vol sits at 76 — roughly 8 vols above the current one-week implied — but that figure is heavily skewed by the sharp Monday/Tuesday moves. As those drops roll out of the look-back window, realised volatility should decline meaningfully, creating further downward pressure on implied vols.

Trading Signals

The Only Three Rules That Matter in Altcoin Trading

Nov 4: We follow a simple (but proven) top-down playbook for trading altcoins, and it keeps us out of trouble.

Trading Strategy

Waiting for the Catalyst: Bitcoin at a Late-Cycle Inflection Point

Nov 6: A historically reliable cycle indicator just moved into territory it hasn’t touched in years. The question now is not whether Bitcoin resumes its uptrend, but what needs to happen first — and who will be positioned when it does. In this report, we break down the catalysts, timing signals, and behavioral shifts that matter next, and why patience may be the most profitable trade in the short term.