Bitcoin's bull and bear markets tend to look similar, though each cycle is unique in its own right. What repeats most consistently are the technical setups and the way markets react to certain macro events and narratives. Investors who focus on those patterns and trade the cycles accordingly have historically fared far better than those who simply dollar-cost average.

Instead, traders should focus on identifying when the risk-reward is favorable, often signaled by Bitcoin reacting better than expected to news, or by technicals that look stronger than they first appear, as we explain below.

Bitcoin (LHS) vs. its 21-week moving average (RHS)

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