Why this report matters

Bitcoin is back at a critical inflection point—and this time, the setup looks very different. Flows are shifting, volatility is repricing higher, and the options market is no longer chasing upside but aggressively hedging downside. At the same time, macro risks are building, with markets pricing a very different outcome than central banks are signaling. The key question now: is this just another reset that fuels the next move higher, or the beginning of a deeper breakdown? In this report, we break down what has changed, where positioning is heading, and the exact levels that will determine the next major move.

Crypto Market Cap (LHS, $trn) vs. Crypto Trading Volumes (RHS, $bn)

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