Fear THIS

👇1-20) In yesterday’s report, we warned that it was too early to buy the dip, flagging the overly optimistic China headlines as a potential trap for investors. Going against the crowd is never easy—especially when sentiment remained upbeat just a day ago—but we emphasized this was not the moment to step in.

👇2-20) Our analysis of the VIX inversion further supported this view, signaling that more downside volatility was likely still ahead. It was easy to be caught off guard by last week’s tariff announcement—especially given Trump’s past pattern of postponing tariffs on Mexico and Canada and media reports suggesting any new measures would be narrowly targeted.

👇3-20) The White House may have deliberately planted these misleading signals to keep investors unhedged and maximize (global) stock market damage. While many still view this as a short-term risk, we warned yesterday that a deal with China was unlikely—and this now carries major implications for Bitcoin.

👇4-20) On Monday, the administration likely floated a fake “90-day truce”. It claimed China’s willingness to negotiate to stem the sell-off as margin calls escalated and funds faced potential blow-ups. This was the narrative Treasury Secretary Bessent pushed to soothe markets—arguing that China had no option but to accept Trump’s demands. However, contrary to popular belief, significant risks remain for Bitcoin. To understand those risks, its essential to understand what is going on.

This indicator has captured all the Bitcoin bear markets…

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